Resources

In addition to the resources found at the very bottom of this page, we have recommended the following supplementary reading as well as a series of recommended readings.

This year's supplemental reading is reprinted with permission from the January 2006 issue of DesignIntelligence.  As is the case with the suggested readings, it is provided purely as a reference for entrants to consider when developing their submissions and vision for the future.


Supplemental Reading (published below)

    "Fifteen New Directions Sweeping the Design Professions." Design Intelligence. January 2006, Vol. 12, No., Greenway Communications, Atlanta, GA.

Suggested Readings
    Bell, Bryan, ed. Good Deeds, Good Design: Community Service through Architecture. New York: Princeton Architectural Press, 2003.

    Conrads, Ulrich, ed. Programs and Manifestoes on 20th-Century Architecture. Cambridge, Mass.: The MIT Press, first English language edition 1970, 10th printing 1990.

    Cuff, Dana. Architecture: The Story of Practice. Cambridge. Mass.: The MIT Press, 1982.

    Friedman, Thomas L. The World Is Flat: A Brief History of the Twenty-first Century. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2005.

    Gutman, Robert. Architectural Practice A Critical View. New York: Princeton Architectural Press, 1988.

    Kieran, Stephen and James Timberlake. Refabricating Architecture: How Manufacturing Methodologies are Poised to Transform Building Construction. New York: McGraw-Hill Companies, 2004.

    Mau, Bruce and the Institute without Boundaries. Massive Change. London: Phaidon Press Limited, 2004.

    Tschumi, Bernard and Irene Cheng, editors. The State of Architecture at the Beginning of the 21st Century. New York: The Monacelli Press and Columbia Books of Architecture, 2003.


Supplementary Reading

Current and Emerging Trends Reshaping the Design Professions
By James P. Cramer

The architecture and design professions are moving from the old to the new. We are in motion, not all of it ascendant.

For eleven years now, DesignIntelligence has been writing about the increasing rate of change and those signal and otherwise important implications of trends on the design professions. We have observed that turbulence is disrupting the progress of far too many design organizations. Thus, we see that even while the economy is growing as it did in 2005 some firms are losing their edge and are no longer agile or competitive enough to be successful in the future. The opposite of this can be and is also true. At no other time in history have the design professions played such an important role in pressing global issues.

The opportunities for business and practice success are as abundant as they are complex. Ralph Waldo Emerson rightly declared that, “this time like all other times, is a very good one, if we know what to do with it.”

DesignIntelligence has interviewed over four hundred firm leaders in the design professions in the last year and more than 255 clients in the construction and real estate arenas. The purpose of this special issue of DI is to explore the emerging new design professions being re-shaped, restructured, and redesigned. These professions are not fully evolved of course. Still, our interviews inform us that there is an active restructuring of the design professions and significant innovations changing lives.

The restructuring of the design professions is being driven by new methods, processes, technologies, demographics, values, and behaviors. Each new direction has the opportunity to transform or disrupt. As we move from old paradigms to the new, we observe the potential for evident winners and losers in the design professions. Our purpose here at DI is to provide information and insight to keep firms on the winning side of the ledger consistently, year after year. Yet, it is not just about winning but about increasing your relevancy and significance in the future.

We believe that the most reliable way to anticipate the future is to better understand the present and to focus on those firms and organizations that are the pacesetters, those performing in the top 20 percent. We call this top 20 percent the design profession’s “best of class.” When we say design professions we mean primarily architects, engineers, interior designers, landscape architects, environmental graphic designers, urban design planners, architectural engineers, and industrial/product designers. To ascertain “best of class”, the Design Futures Council has defined twelve performance areas (see accompanying chart) for which we have established and maintain the latest benchmarks used for measuring levels of achievement in each.

To help us understand the forces at work in each of the twelve categories comprising best of class we surveyed firms and analyzed the results and trends for each of the twelve areas.


Best of Class Evaluation Areas

Design Futures Council has defined twelve performance areas, for which we have established and maintain the latest benchmarks, used for measuring levels of achievement in each.

    1. Recruiting, retaining, and training the most talented people
    2. Finding niches of specific business interest and return on investment
    3. Selecting clients with great care
    4. Possessing strong communication skills internally and externally
    5. Nurturing a culture of continuous improvements
    6. Strong knowledge management, collaboration efficiency
    7. Achieving profit goals year after year
    8. Growth goals are achieved in both quality and quantity
    9. Sustainable design competency and leadership
    10. Turnover rates at 8-12 percent
    11. Plan for leadership transitions and have a back-up plan
    12. Knowing risks and threats and protecting the assets of the firm

The purpose of this report then is to asses what is happening in 2006 that will likely drive the transformation of future years. Our interviews and research are intended to see more clearly and deeply into the culture of change in the local and international firms who are outperforming their peers.

There are two macro drivers of change today:

A. Architecture is becoming the number one art form in the major global economies. B. The languages of business, real estate, and design are merging.

Beneath this umbrella of change are 15 trends of directional significance. We believe that much of what will happen in the years ahead is actually knowable today. We can approximate the key trends that have driven past changes and will likely drive the future. Demographics and generational values provide a foundation by which we can analyze the categories of change. We are in an industry of predictable cycles, cycles which can be placed into strategic scenarios.


The Fifteen New Directions for 2006

1. More than a promise, firms will be delivering genuinely integrated and more overtly collaborative professional practices in architecture, interiors, engineering, and construction. Although technology is clearly one of the major change drivers in the design professions it is accompanied by other significant factors. When we take technology, practice innovation, and organization skills together we find that firms are truly becoming more integrated in a variety of strategic ways. Underlying all of this is mutual respect and rules. Several of the leading firms in the world today have integrated architecture and interior design to such a finely tuned level that clients are singing their praises and word of mouth is bringing in new work--consistently.

Unified professional teams are not only housed within a single firm. They can also operate on the basis of strategic alliances between firms as well. How are firms migrating toward truly collaborative models? Primarily through organizational design and incentive systems. The Beck Group is a large full service real estate organization based in Dallas, Texas, with offices throughout the South, that offers design and construction services. A telling example offered by Beck of the inherent faults of non-integrated services is that of an engineer designing a building structure based on a 30-day old set of architectural drawings while the architect continues making design changes, which ultimately cause coordination problems and costly rework during fabrication and construction. However, knowledge-centric integration allows and expects each discipline to contribute knowledge in the form of rules, algorithms, and proprietary practices--an approach not followed since the master builder dominated the industry during the 19th century, when building design was substantially simpler and one person could hold most of the necessary knowledge in their head. The industry has been plagued by inefficient and wasteful processes, and every discipline has been commoditized, resulting in anemic margins. But now, with new integration models, systems, rules, tools, and attitudes, a whole new industry is unfolding. The British Airport Authority now insists on integration expertise and Business Roundtable clients who are sharing information are singing its praises.

The trend’s bottom line: architects, engineers, designers, and contractors will begin to jointly share both the authority and responsibility for design, means and methods, costs, and delivery schedules by sharing contract risks on a project-by-project basis and/or integrating the disciplines within the same firm.


2. Design-build service delivery growth will continue to outpace all other delivery options. The barriers that have blocked this service delivery method in K-12 school and government building sectors are now crumbling. Some states report share gain increases of more than 3.5 percent a year toward design-build service delivery (vs. other delivery methods including construction management and design-award-build approaches where there are separate contracts). The associations that once fought design-build innovation are now developing documents and standards to support it and the insurance industry is now providing regular updates, counsel, and options. We define “design-build” as providing a single point of responsibility for both design and construction, using just one contract with a design/build entity. Firms poised to grow are strategically embracing design-build. It is significantly easier for leading firms to rapidly and steadily increase their revenues and profits using design-build models, citing the numerous flaws in traditional models of design-bid-build. From the Federal levels of procurement to large scale developers, design-build will be increasingly accepted and adopted. Later this year, DI will be publishing a list of the fastest growing firms in America, those that have a recent history and foreseeable expectation of long-term growth. You will notice a trend in many of these fast-growth firms toward a design-build strategy of one kind or another. Design-build has been pioneered by a handful of farsighted firms; these firms are focused on creating new growth and new value by addressing the hassles and issues of complexity in the construction industry. And, in the future, more and more clients will demand innovation, often requesting design/build delivery. A Design Futures Council think tank has projected that the growth of design/build projects could reach 70 percent of market share and become the dominant delivery system of the future.


3. Globalization will impact every design and construction organization in America and will include such issues as outsourcing, anti-Americanism, currency valuation swings, and issues of global competitiveness. These all weigh as factors upon US based firms, even those practicing as regional firms in less populated states. A 120 person Midwest firm was recently surveyed to ascertain the design origins and manufacture of the staff’s clothing. A significant percentage was designed outside the United States, 91% was manufactured outside the country. And the automobiles driven by the staff? Seventy eight percent were foreign. Thus, we see similar occurrences in the design and manufacture of many of the significant buildings inside the United States. The new deYoung Museum in San Francisco, for example, has been designed by the Swiss firm Herzog and DeMeuron, with many of the building components manufactured at an international scale. In city after city, foreign architects are designing high profile projects. US based multi-national firms are also doing quite well in terms of the exportation of design services. US firms are increasingly working outside the country despite anti-American sentiment.

China is growing at a rate just above 9 percent GNP growth and will become the world’s largest economy. The largest design marketplace in the world? China. And, we quickly expect China to export design talent and services and emerge as a global competitor in both design and production of building materials. Just a few years ago steel prices spiked due to increased demand in China. Today, China is making most of its own steel and has begun exporting steel as well.

As with all trends, opposing scenarios will also prove significant for the future of design careers. Increasing localization remains a counter trend to globalization--a European Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research report states that confidence in the federal government has dropped from 70 to 58 percent since 1972, and that “trust” in US government has dropped to 34 percent. The bottom line for this trend: The accelerated impact of globalization on the design profession and the AEC industry will continue as a major force.


4. Expect increasingly significant talent shortages in architecture and design professions. This trend towards talent shortages will only get worse over the next three years according to Greenway Group and DesignIntelligence research. We are graduating immensely talented people from our architecture and design schools. They are moving into a marketplace that has changed significantly from just a decade ago. The firms recruiting M.Arch graduates for example now include Electronic Arts, DreamWorks, Starbucks, IBM, CB Richard Ellis and others outside of private professional practices. Graduates can often earn more than $50,000 with incentive plans that tempt them away from traditional professional practice. The number of graduates entering the IDP track in architecture does not appear to be keeping up with the demand for talent. In addition to this, we must also consider the loss of a significant percentage of generational talent in the early 1990s due to the recession in real estate in the United States. Today the demand for design and construction industry talent is at record highs. Bottom line: this trend bodes well for higher salaries but also increased management headaches brought upon by these talent shortages.


5. BIM technology will transform the language of design from drawings to models and will grow in use exponentially between 2006 and 2009. There will be rapid adoption of BIM (Building Information Modeling) technology. Those failing to adopt and adapt will lose their relevancy to client audiences. The shift from computer aided drawing to BIM is enormous. BIM is a revolutionary paradigm change. Under the old rules, CAD drawings were in separate files; coordination between disciplines was a challenge, and version control was complex. One change in a plan did not change anything in the other drawings and thus manual changes across documentation were required. Rife with the potential for oversight and error, CAD was ripe for transformation. Now BIM offers up faster options, with project data maintained in a single file. Coordination between disciplines is much easier; version control is easier; take-offs and estimates are now possible. The designer can now create a 3D model of a project and automatically generate plans, elevations, sections and details from this model. The designer can modify the plan and model and the related views are automatically updated. BIM technology is at the leading edge of the design profession’s future and will explode into relevancy in the next three years. I recently spoke at ICSC Centerbuild in Scottsdale and during the question and response period an architect from a medium sized firm in Texas told us of her BIM experiences in retail design. She has shaved nearly 75 percent of required time while simultaneously enhancing project quality. BIM technology is an idea whose time has come. Strategic firms will have an aggressive action plan for adoption and the creation of new strategic advantages.


6. Demographics and generational changes will significantly alter context for professional practice in the future. It is well known that the population in the US and much of the rest of the world is getting older. Life expectancy continues to increase, with many individuals expecting to live well into their 90’s; 75 year life spans are no longer rare. In terms of demographics we are conducting a grand social experiment with the question being how shall we organize society when so many people are over age 65? Life spans in the next 30 years may increase by as much as 10-20 years. Architects and designers will need to make sense of the subsequent and emerging economic and design questions.

There are also signal generational differences. For instance, for the first time ever, we have “digital natives”, born since about 1982, entering the professions. The rest of us are what has been called “digital immigrants”--those who may be “pretty good” with computers but the digital world is always new to them. For digital natives, computers and the digital world are normal, the way it has always been. “Baby boomers” (there are 76 million in the United States) invented the Internet and now Generation X’ers are transforming it into what it is and will be. We also expect to see architects and designers, along with other knowledge workers, take part in significant geographic migration, shifting living preferences from the North to South.

Bottom line: we are now at the tipping point of a fundamental restructuring that will revolutionize the design professions and address the needs of those we serve. We will see the end of traditional retirement and the reinvention of the final phases of life. Get ready for a demographic and generational roller coaster ride. Add to this, the projection from the Brookings Institute, that the built environment in the US will double by 2035 and we have a dilemma of sizable proposition--a design problem indeed.


7. Process differentiation and corresponding brand and trademark status are significant anti-commoditization factors for design firms. Architects and designers take it for granted that their drawings and models are protected under copyright laws, but few realize that processes are valued and understood as having value too. Processes (and the firm cultures that drive them) are thus huge differentiators for design organizations. Moreover, processes and products are harder to commoditize than services.

What are design processes? We define processes as those carefully considered, precisely controlled, and constantly improving sequences or steps leading to a design or building--the predetermined result. Leading firms often have unique processes that add significant value. These processes can make for faster projects, better buildings, and innovative solutions. One of the most widespread and overused design clichés used by thousands of firms during the last decade is “providing solutions.” There is nothing wrong with the phrase itself except that nearly every firm employs the phrase and this tends to homogenize firms as providing “service sameness”, making firms seem more similar than different in the client’s mind. That is precisely why process differentiation can be a hidden asset, an intangible intellectual property. Hidden assets can be the missing element for firms differentiating themselves and building profitable growth channels.

At the Stubbins Associates, a highly competitive new process called Hypertrack™ has brought them both business press and client satisfaction. Their five point value process is quite different from any other firm offering. Stubbins Associates’ clients and the differentiated process have created a buzz of sorts in the fields of higher education facilities and lab and pharmaceutical buildings. In the management consulting arena, The Greenway Group uses its LEAP ™ process that encompasses leadership, empowerment, and accountability diagnostics to improve the operating culture of professional organizations. IDEO has managed to integrate process brand differentiation into their firm name and is now one of today’s most celebrated design firms. And the IDEO formula for innovation is being reinvented every year. There is a dramatic shift in how work gets done and this shift will be labeled, trademarked, and become even more pronounced in upcoming years.


8. Fast architecture is becoming expected as speed of service delivery produces quality design and schedule enhancements. How long does good design take? Increasingly, the answer given by leading firms is perhaps a 15-50 percent reduction from traditional norms depending on building and client type. Hammel Green and Abrahamson (HGA), and their six national offices, have moved this concept into aggressive action models. They provide insight into value migration as speed becomes increasingly important. According to HGA, clients drive the need for faster design solutions for a variety of reasons including: product to market--getting to market quickly drove the construction of many computer manufacturing and assembly facilities; leadership transition--the pending retirement of a CEO or other leader has placed some Fortune 500 Corporations on a super fast-track to complete projects in record time; mergers and acquisitions--the need to quickly integrate cultures of merged companies, another factor that leads to accelerated project design and delivery; regulatory considerations--pending regulatory changes (such as zoning changes impacting the value of land) have pushed projects forward in record time; and real estate factors--a major state government building, where pending lease expirations, challenging renewal negotiations, and previously unsuccessful attempts to have a building design on budget, motivated HGA to move to design-build accountability. While not always the case, some architects and designers find that limited time can be a positive constraint that stimulates and enhances the creative energy. Leading firms agree: months of design time can be eliminated and design fees can be expanded as value is re-measured.


9. Performance (productivity) increases will improve by double digit percentages in design from 2006 to 2009. It’s awesome, really, to walk into an architecture firm and hear stories about performance and productivity increases of 7 to 11 percent a year over the last four years. And, while the construction industry as a whole has not seen such increases, there are reports of spotty yet dramatic increases there as well. In construction we learn about strategic partitioning, new modular processes, easier to install materials, robotics, BIM, integration systems, and Six-Sigma processes that eliminate waste between design stages and construction phases leading up to occupancy. We see now that the most significant performance enhancements lie just ahead. Do not be surprised that innovation will be resisted by the knowledge workers stuck in 20th Century processes and habit patterns. Closely analyze the performance benchmarks in your firm as professional fees per full time equivalent (FTE) exceed $135,000 in 2005, topping $200,000 in 2008. The most competitive organizations will take steps to raise the bar sooner, rather than later, as it relates to performance and productivity.


10. Architects are designing buildings of course and even more significantly--they are designing experiences. We have dedicated several issues of DesignIntelligence to this trend in the past. It is still one of our top twenty trends and is not as well understood in certain building categories, specifically education, medical, and corporate. Make no mistake, however, as it is just as relevant in these building sectors as in hospitality, retail, and sports. The new game is to infuse exceptional and emotional experiences into space making. It’s the experience that counts, not the building. Starbucks and Apple understand this, of course, but so does Target, Stanford, Cleveland Clinic, and Boeing, all of whom have worked with architects and designers to create communities of passionate and loyal employees and customers. Each individual’s experience in a building, space, or environment includes an emotional reaction and the underlying architecture is responsible. Using refreshable information, messaging, images, luminosity, digital technology, special components of shaping and choreographing social experiences is the key. There is strong ROI to good design. Customers aren’t just paying for a cup of coffee at Starbucks--they are satisfying the soul. This trend’s bottom line: get clear and get excited about how your organization delivers an exceptional experience for your staff, your clients, and for the end users of your buildings and products.


11. Green and sustainable designs make architects and designers indispensable in the future. Not long ago, just before the 2004 presidential elections, Walter Cronkite wrote in the Philadelphia Enquirer that: “Global warming is at least as important as gay marriage or the cost of Social Security. And if it is not seriously debated in the general election, it will measure the irresponsibility of the entire political class. This is an issue that cannot, and must not, be ignored any longer.” Well, at the moment, it appears that the US government is showing less real interest and leadership than the world expects of us. And certainly it is a national security issue. Still, many of the design associations including the American Institute of Architects are joining with the US Green Building Council, taking a leadership role, and proving that hope is possible even in an absence of collective political wisdom. We are nearing the moment of “peak oil” when half the worlds supply will be used up. It could be 2025; it could be 2007; a few argue that it has already taken place. Whenever it hits, we will have roughly eight years to supplant half of what we currently accomplish with petroleum, with alternative means. The next energy era is the biggest design enterprise opportunity in the history of the planet. It is not hyperbolic to call it an extreme rescue measure for planet earth. Architects and designers hold the key to turning this carbon and environmental crisis around, bringing innovation and creative energy to real-world solutions. The Design Futures Council Leadership Summit on Sustainable Design has assembled a new Focus on the Future report that lays out roles and responsibilities and “live commitments” of more than 100 of the world’s design leaders. Join with them. It’s not only about doing well by doing good, it’s also vital to the planets sustainability.


12. New technology visions will radically reshape the future design professions. New and emerging technologies are being re-imagined in leading design firms to provide distinctive value propositions. These technology visions will optimize new tools such as VOIP, nanototech, artificial intelligence, visualizations, and other performance-boosting solutions. Archpartners, for instance, supplies an outsourcing service that specializes in computer generated visualizations and animations for evaluation and communication purposes; they partner with design firms and present pre-construction design intentions in an effective and convincing manner. Reality Online, a division of Accenture, imagines new workspace solutions using hyper tools. They envision a world in which objects can sense, reason, communicate, and act; where for every physical object or event, there will be a corresponding virtual double. They also envision the time between stimulus and response as approaching zero, and a world where privacy and business insight will be bought and sold in a market that rewards those who build trust and harness real-time economic issues. All over the world, design firms are innovating way beyond their web sites. Many of these organizations have a clear, demiurgic business vision that merges technology, design talent, and business success. Between 2006 and 2010 we expect to see a new supply chain of value as design decisions are made in real time and as prototypes are built around key components of the client’s vision. New design relevancy takes place by utilizing the most talented designers and the latest technology. Architects and designers will no longer talk about going online because reality itself will be online, says Glover Ferguson of Accenture. There will be new pilot projects and ongoing collaborations emerging daily as the design professions are re-imagined to be both different and better. NBBJ’s new radical workplace model in Seattle and their new book Change Design carries the message that innovative business vision is critical to high-performing value to clients.


13. Building lifecycle management solutions expand services; designers take on facility management and become maintenance and restoration experts, commissioning consultants, and programming and strategic space consultants. Buildings just like people have predictable life spans. With people we understand that there are medical doctors who are involved from birth to death and each year most of us have contact with doctors who prescribe advice and medicines for our wellness, health, and for corrective measure. The lifespan of the human being has strong connectivity with the doctors of medicine. By contrast, it has traditionally been the role of the architect, engineer, and interior designer to be involved in only the planning, birthing, and initial occupancy of a building, with the ongoing linear and non-linear considerations left to other professionals and often to non-professionals. This limited role and responsibility of architects and designers, however, is beginning to change dramatically as we consider new streams of professional fees now generated by lifecycle building services. Now, because architects and designers have schedules and technology that address maintenance and product durability, it is possible and advisable for them to be involved with a building during its entire lifespan, including renewal, restoration, and flexible adaptive reuse. Some architecture firms are becoming data central for their clients where they become in essence “chief architect and facility advisor” for their client on an ongoing retainer-outsourcing basis. And it is also true that some real estate service providers are hiring architects (licensed in jurisdictions of relevancy) to provide this function in a corporate setting, aside from professional practice.

One question that often comes to mind is whether architects and designers possess enough passion to really fill in the gaps of services required; after all, these are not always the most challenging creative puzzles offered in facilities issues. Our research has found, in fact, that there is indeed a passion for expanded services and a growing number of design professionals are more than willing to take on such roles within the likes of GSA, Microsoft, CB Richard Ellis, Virgin, G.E., and Target, as well as within design firms, where they become outsourced facility management experts. The demand for such services is expected to grow at a rate double that of the otherwise growth rate in the industry.

From a business point of view, firms can improve their growth prospects although this will scarcely happen overnight. A strategic client relationship program and value pricing can redefine a firm’s brand equity to emphasize lifecycle services. And, while this strategy will not appeal to a majority of firms we expect growth to exceed 4.5 percent per year.


14. Clients will demand specialization and high-definition value from their design consultants. There is significant value migration away from generalist practices. From the research conducted within the last twelve months, the world’s leading clients want their architects to be “the experts in each field of specialization” in this order: A. specific building type expertise and competence; B. strong leadership skills with specialized repute; C. trust and confidence in zone of specialty; D. familiarity and comfort with innovation in categories of specialization.

Buildings that think, smart walls and ceilings, structures as computers, will all become commonplace. Each firm should be able to readily answer this question: What are we famous for? High definition premium value is being delivered by the most successful design organizations. Premium value is the upper most value delivered by a professional design practice. High definition means that there is recognition for expertise, competence, and confidence approaching levels of mystique. The high-definition label means that clients are clear and certain about the value proposition; no fog, no misunderstandings, no missed expectations. High definition value is focused, committed, and smart, a trend that operates in all regions and in all sizes of firms. There is a world of new opportunity in the design professions. The mass market for architects and designers is no longer supreme. Money is being made in the niches. Filling those niches are firms offering clearest value. With so many new tools and communication systems in place design is a 24/7 proposition. The differences between design firms are becoming more noticeable, distinguished, and these are being communicated with impressive panache.


15. Strategic optimism is a palpable advantage where designers offer a deep expertise and wisdom of professionalism in the client’s field of business. It won’t be in the official RFPs but the attitude of strategic optimism will be a key differentiating point for the most successful and sought after designers. Confident and informed experts will lead the industry. We have found, that when you combine strategic optimism with great talent and a plan, that a paragon status unfolds and significant results follow. Attitude is a resource like money, time, and materials. When the characteristic of strategic optimism exists in the firm there is a belief that the ability to enhance, improve and differentiate everything is infinite.

In the future of this industry there will be casualties. There are vast limiting beliefs about this industries future. There are also victimization attitudes and the design professions are weakened by the sometimes poor execution of projects that result in the conditions of chronically soft and/or shrinking business conditions. Commonly limiting beliefs include the likes of: “architects don’t make much money so I won’t either”; “architects don’t manage businesses very well so I won’t either”; “firm is large so we can’t be fast too”; “we’re not smart enough to be a leader of the changes necessary to make us competitive again”; or “I’m too old to learn BIM and 3-D CAD”. Strategic optimism is not blind optimism and it is not happy talk. It is not myopic. It is informed, knowledgeable, and possesses vision for the future. Strategic optimists use scenarios to create future invention visions; these form alternative ideas toward new relevancy and a springboard away from professional stagnation. One or just a few changes in your outlook, behavior, and action regarding the year ahead will change your destiny.


Closing Words
Architects and designers possess the means to becoming the artists and creators of their own careers. Each of the trends discussed in this issue of DesignIntelligence are full of possibility, as you develop your agenda for the future. However, keep in mind the paradoxical nature of design as often the opposite of each trend could in theory hold the essence of competitive advantage for you and your firm. DFC Senior Fellow Richard Farson reminds us that paradoxes in professional practice often provide unique, often hidden opportunities. So, in each area question the trends and consider going against the grain. Consider Santiago Calatrava, for instance, who interviews so well when he is hand sketching his biomimicry ideas despite his firm’s technology residing in a class all its own. He also brings gemutlichkeit--a genuine warmth and congeniality--along with his neo-Teutonic and Latin personality.

Questions that you need to ask as you chart your own future strategies:

  • How are the trends in professional practice relevant to my practice?
  • How are my clients’ needs changing?
  • What should I do differently in the future to cope with trends and change?
  • How is the essence of my practice likely to be altered?
  • What paradoxes are most applicable to me? What new vision of my firm could result from them?
  • How may I allay doubt within the firm regarding necessary change?
  • What will be the new essence of my professional practice? What will be the unique promise to our clients?

Finally, DFC Senior Fellow Peter Schwartz reminds us to stay alert for wild cards and inevitable surprises. Severe weather can be expected. Suicide car bombings; stock market fluctuations; and failed real estate investments. Wild cards are explosions on the continuum located between downside scenarios or dystopias, and upside scenarios or utopias. Wild cards usually indicate a massively transformational change. The future is not something that just happens to us but the future is something we do, something we create. And, for architects and designers, this is the design of a better future, the creation of a future we prefer. This, as Bill Caudill used to remind me, is possible.

In past January issues of DesignIntelligence, we’ve shared some of the books we’ve read that have impacted our point of view on the future. And this issue is no different. The best books that we’ve read that discuss the immense potential ahead for professional practices include:
    A Whole New Mind by Dan Pink

    The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology by Ray Kurzweil

    Radical Evolution: The Promise and Peril of Enhancing Our Minds, Our Bodies--and What it Means to Be Human by Joel Garreau.

Take a moment now and reflect on your vision for 2006 and beyond. Imagine it being purposeful, vital, and inspiring. Make it your epoch--your destiny. All of us here at DesignIntelligence wish you success and prosperity in the year ahead.


About the author:


James P. Cramer is editor of DesignIntelligence and co-chair of the Design Futures Council. He is co-author of How Firms Succeed and chairman of The Greenway Group. Click here to learn more about the author.

    This essay competition is intended to encourage, promote, and reward critical thinking and writing--two traditionally under-emphasized areas of architectural education and training. Our hope, however, is that we can also raise awareness of opportunities for young professionals to share their aspirations, ideas, and thoughts through writing--well beyond the confines of this grassroots competition.

    Opportunities can be as informal as letters to the editor of national magazines and local newspapers or as formal as scholarly peer-reviewed paper submissions to academic conferences or journals. In most of these settings, the presence of young professionals' perspectives is rare, but highly valuable.


    Journals, Magazines, & Newsletters

    The following list of writing opportunities is extensive, but by no means comprehensive. If you would like to suggest others, simply email them to editors@archvoices.org and we'll add them. The majority of these publications welcome unsolicited submissions in the form of book reviews, critiques, letters to the editor, interviews, design projects, etc.

      National Print

      306090 Architecture Journal is a nonprofit journal of emergent architecture and design, edited and published by young architecture professionals.

      arcCA, the journal of the AIA California Council, is published quarterly and covers a wide range of themes.

      Architectural Record is a monthly print publication and the official magazine of the AIA. Its companion, ArchRecord2, is geared toward young architects.

      Architecture magazine is a monthly print publication that delivers coverage of architectural design, projects and products, industry news and trends, building technology, computing, practice issues, and professional development.

      ArchitectureBoston is a self-described as an "ideas" magazine rather than a "picture book." Published by the Boston Society of Architects (BSA), its stories connect architecture to social, cultural, political, and economic trends.

      DesignIntelligence is a monthly newsletter published by the Design Futures Council and produced by The Greenway Group, Inc. It is geared toward leaders involved in transformative processes improving the built environment and the design professions.

      Crit is a publication of the AIAS, published semi-annually. It is the lone national student architectural journal, although it readily welcomes submissions from young and seasoned members of the profession alike.

      Harvard Design Magazine aims to provide a forum for thoughtful and articulate practitioners, journalists, and academics, primarily from architecture, landscape architecture, as well as urban design and planning. Essays, images, discussions, book reviews, and recent projects appear regularly.

      Journal of Architectural Education (JAE), published quarterly by the ACSA, is one of the few peer-reviewed journals in the field of scholarly architecture. Articles include a wide range of topics such as history, theory, practice, and design.

      Loud Paper is a zine dedicated to increasing the volume of architectural discourse, although its website hasn't been updated in nearly a year. It is self-described as a "slambamgetitoutthere way of linking architectural thoughts, musings, and new work with the culture at large."

      Metropolis, published monthly, examines contemporary life through design--architecture, interior design, product design, graphic design, crafts, planning, and preservation. MetropoligMag.com also welcomes submissions and issues a regular email newsletter.

      Online

      Architosh is the number one web portal dedicated to Macintosh IT resources for CAD/3D/AEC students and professionals, now serving over 25,000 unique readers monthly in more than 70 countries around the world.

      ArchNewsNow email newsletter, published daily, hyperlinks directly to the latest news and commentary gleaned from sources around the world.

      ArchVoices periodically publishes a free email newsletter providing information, opinions, and resources on issues affecting young architecture professionals. 

      Forward is a quarterly, electronic newsletter produced by the AIA National Associates Committee.


    General Resources

    There are ample writing resources available online and in print, including a number of classic and widely-used style guides such as the Chicago Manual of Style and the Modern Language Association (MLA) Handbook. Neither of the aforementioned are available online in their entirety. Minus a few published essays in books and journals, Writing for Design Professionals (1998) is the only book geared for us designer types. Defying the stereotype that architects can't write, it's authored by Stephen Kliment, FAIA, past editor-in-chief of Architectural Record.

    The most comprehensive and easy to use online guide is arguably Garbl's Editorial Style Manual, based on the Associated Press Style Book and Briefing on Media Law. Garbl.com is an annotated directory focusing on creativity, the writing process, English grammar, action writing, 'fat-free' writing, style and usage, reference sources, word play, and even tips for overcoming writer's block.

    These days, every word processing program has a pretty extensive spell check vocabulary, at least for this type of writing, but you may also wish to utilize a dictionary or thesaurus. Merriam-Webster offer both online at www.webster.com.

    Are you partial to any writing resources that are not listed here? Email your recommendations to editors@archvoices.org


    Did You Know?

      "Writing skills were cited as a weakness by majorities of administrators, faculty and alumni." When asked to indicate how strong or weak they considered teaching of writing skills at their school, 66% of administrators, 65% of faculty, 42% of students, and 59% of alumni said 'weak.'"
      --Ernest Boyer & Lee Mitgang, Building Community, p.70 (1996)

      47.2% of respondents felt that "too little" emphasis was placed on verbal/written communication skills in school.
      --ACSA Tracking Study of Architecture Graduates from the classes of 1967, '72, & '77 (1980)

      Of the approximately 140 U.S. newspapers with a daily circulation of more than 75,000, only 13 have full-time architecture critics. The nation's largest newspaper, USA Today, has no architecture critic at all; nor does Houston, Detroit, Sacramento, or Kansas City.
      --The Architecture Critic, National Arts Journalism Program (2000-2001)